In a recent CNBC segment, Tom Lee, managing partner at Fundstrat Global Advisors, presented an optimistic outlook for the stock market and S&P earnings. He revised his target for S&P 2025 earnings from an initial estimate of $260 to a figure between $275 and $285. He anticipates that with a more dovish Federal Reserve and potentially softer employment data, price-to-earnings (P/E) multiples could exceed previous expectations, driving the S&P to around 5,800 by year-end. This projection would mark a total return of over 20%, following last year’s impressive performance.
Lee highlighted a significant amount of cash, approximately $6 trillion, currently sitting in low-interest accounts, which could impact market performance. This liquidity, paired with strong earnings growth, suggests a continuation of stock gains, albeit with potentially lower intensity in the second half of the year. He also discussed the cryptocurrency market, notably Bitcoin, which he believes may rebound as certain selling pressures ease. Lee maintained a price target of $150 for Bitcoin, predicting that the cryptocurrency could experience sharp gains, as it often does within a small number of days throughout the year. Overall, his insights reflect confidence in both equities and crypto moving forward.